Probability Foundations
The language of uncertainty, from counting and expectation to Markov chains and concentration bounds. You will implement Bayes rule, classic distributions, inclusion-exclusion, gambler's ruin, and a CLT simulation. A good fit for interviews and for anyone starting probabilistic ML.
Your progress
0/31 · 0%Path readiness 0%Easy 0% · Medium 0% · Hard 0%
Continue path · Expected ValueWhat you will learn
- Count outcomes with permutations, combinations, and inclusion-exclusion
- Work with geometric, binomial, Poisson, exponential, and normal distributions
- Apply conditional probability, total probability, and Bayes' rule
- Analyze Markov chains, hitting times, and limit theorems
1Counting and Basics
Probability starts with counting. Combinations, permutations, factorials, complements, independence, and the expectation of indicator variables.
- Easy
- Easy
- Easy
- Easy
- Easy
- Easy
- Easy
- Easy
Stage checkpoint
0/2 to passA checkpoint is a short retrieval test drawn from this stage: solve 2 of 3 from memory to mark the stage complete. The stage stays open either way.
2Random Variables and Distributions
Expected value and variance, then the distributions that recur: geometric, Poisson, exponential, and normal, plus covariance between indicators.
- Easy
- Geometric PMFEasypr-012Probability
- Poisson PMFEasypr-013Probability
- Easy
- Easy
- Easy
- Medium
- Medium
Stage checkpoint
0/2 to passA checkpoint is a short retrieval test drawn from this stage: solve 2 of 3 from memory to mark the stage complete. The stage stays open either way.
- Covariance of Two IndicatorsEasy
- Standard Deviation of Discrete RVMedium
- Variance of Discrete RVMedium
3Conditional Probability and Bayes
Update beliefs with evidence: conditional tables, total probability, Bayes with two and three hypotheses, multinomial counts, hypergeometric sampling, and CDFs.
- Bayes TheoremMediumpr-001Probability
- Medium
- Medium
- Medium
- Medium
- Binomial CDFMediumpr-031Probability
- Medium
Stage checkpoint
0/2 to passA checkpoint is a short retrieval test drawn from this stage: solve 2 of 3 from memory to mark the stage complete. The stage stays open either way.
- Hypergeometric PMFMedium
- Binomial CDFMedium
- Normal CDF via erfMedium
4Chains and Limit Theorems
Sequences of random events: stationary distributions, inclusion-exclusion, Markov n-step laws, hitting times, gambler's ruin, the Central Limit Theorem, and a Chernoff bound.
- Medium
- Hard
- Hard
- Hard
- Hard
- Hard
- Hard
- Hard
Stage checkpoint
0/2 to passA checkpoint is a short retrieval test drawn from this stage: solve 2 of 3 from memory to mark the stage complete. The stage stays open either way.
Capstone
CollectionClose the path with one real artifact from the catalog.
Blend the counting, distribution, and Bayes work in this path with one compact mixed set.